Forecasting the Conditions of Steady State and Transient State in Pipeline-riser Based on EMD-LSTM

FU Jiqiang, ZOU Suifeng, SUN Jie, XU Qiang, ZHAO Xiangyuan, GUO Liejin

Journal of Engineering Thermophysics ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11) : 3398-3405.

PDF(7787 KB)
PDF(7787 KB)
Journal of Engineering Thermophysics ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11) : 3398-3405.

Forecasting the Conditions of Steady State and Transient State in Pipeline-riser Based on EMD-LSTM

  • FU Jiqiang1, ZOU Suifeng1, SUN Jie2, XU Qiang1, ZHAO Xiangyuan1, GUO Liejin1
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Abstract

Aiming at the forecasting of time series of flow parameters and flow pattern transformation in offshore oil and gas pipelines, a combined model based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks is established, and Bayesian theory is used to optimize the relevant parameters of LSTM neural network. Compared with BP neural network, random forest algorithm, and LSTM neural network alone, the combined EMD-LSTM prediction model proposed in this paper can better track the evolution trend of riser pressure difference and amplitude, and greatly improve the prediction accuracy. Moreover, it is applicable to both an original flow signal and the time series of its statistical parameters.

Key words

pipeline-riser / empirical mode decomposition / long short-term memory neural network / transient condition / forecasting

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FU Jiqiang, ZOU Suifeng, SUN Jie, XU Qiang, ZHAO Xiangyuan, GUO Liejin. Forecasting the Conditions of Steady State and Transient State in Pipeline-riser Based on EMD-LSTM[J]. Journal of Engineering Thermophysics, 2024, 45(11): 3398-3405
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